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Climate Change Question Time: The scientific uncertainties and their implications
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Statistical processing for ensembles of numerical weather prediction model
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Climate Change Question Time: Estimating and reducing uncertainty in climate prediction: key findings from the Newton Institute Programme
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Climate Change Question Time: Policy in the face of the uncertainties
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Climate Investments optimized under uncertainty
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Engagement with business- What are the barriers to use of climate data, where should future research be taken?
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What does the agricultural research-for-development community need from climate and weather data?
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Lessons learned from striving to support decision and policy making: the challenges when providing climate information
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Engaging with policymakers: modelling of the optimal investments into environmental maintenance, abatement, and adaptation for long-term climate policies
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The importance of numerical time-stepping errors
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Bayesian estimation of the climate sensitivity based on a simple climate model fitted to global temperature observations
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The Community Integrated Assessment System, CIAS, and its user interface CLIMASCOPE
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Homogenized Hybrid Particle Filters in Multi-scale Environments
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New Newtonian Alchemy: Turning Noise into Signal
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Adventures in Emulation
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Rewarding strength, discounting weakness: combining information from multiple climate simulators
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Grand Challenges in Probabilistic Climate Prediction
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Assessing climate uncertainty: models, meaning and methods
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A statistical emulator for HadCM3
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Climate modelling at Quaternary time scales
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Synthesising Model Projections of Future Climate Change
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Overview of Newton Institute "climate" programme
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After Climategate & Cancun; What Next for Climate Science?
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Application of the Maximum Entropy Production principle to turbulent fluid mechanics and planetary systems
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Entropy production and efficiencyin the climate system
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Fast Bayesian palaeoclimate reconstruction
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Climate change Down Under: challenges, opportunities and uncertainty
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Estimates of the ocean heat budget in the Gulf stream
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Aspects of long-range forecasting and ENSO
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Changes in weather and climate systems, predictable and unpredictable
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Rate-dependent tipping points - a comparative approach
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Predicting extremes in the midlatitudinal atmospheric circulation using regime-dependent statistical modelling
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Stochastic diagnosis of climate dynamics, with application to tropical Sea Surface Temperatures
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Inviscid dissipation of balanced flow by topography
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Regimes of global atmospheric circulation
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Predicting the unpredictable: combining models and data
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Predictability of the 2nd kind: numerical discretisations and their climatic response
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A perspective on turbulent flows: cascade dynamics in rotating flows
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Stochastic model reduction on manifolds
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Using simple models and rigorous mathematics to improve operational atmosphere and ocean modelling
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A variance constraining Kalman filter for data assimilation
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How to design a climate ensemble
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Probabilistic frameworks
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Non-probabilistic frameworks
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Probabilistic methodology used for UKCIP
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Methodologies for probabilistic uncertainty assessment
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Model inadequacies and physical processes
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Outstanding problems in probabilistic prediction of climate
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Bayesian calibration of the Thermosphere-Ionosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIE-GCM)
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Understanding uncertainty in climate model components
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Sir Gilbert Walker and a connection between El Nino and statistics
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How we build a parameterisation scheme: illustrated by Langmuir turbulence in the ocean mixed layer
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Development of wavelet methodology for weather Data Assimilation
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Not-implausible statistical climate modelling
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Inferring past ice: Bayesian calibration of a 3D glacial system model for the last deglaciation: methodology, challenges, and lessons
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Recovering past dynamics from a computer model: inversion of a vegetation model for paleoclimate reconstruction
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Towards a theory of the North Atlantic oscillation
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Empirical stochastic modelling in weather and climate science: applications from subgrid-scale parametrisation to analysis & modelling of palaeoclimatic records
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The impacts of stochastic noise on climate models
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Stochstic representation of model uncertainties in ECMWF's forecasting system
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Issues with convection. What is a useful framework beyond bulk models of large N, non-interacting, scale-separated, equilibrium systems
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Model uncertainty in weather and climate models: Stochastic and multi-physics representations
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Climate entropy production based on AOGCM diagnostics
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MEP and planetary climates: insights from a two-box climate model containing atmospheric dynamics
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Life, hierarchy, and the thermodynamic machinery of planet Earth
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Model resolution versus ensemble size: optimizing the trade-off for finite computing resources
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Biases and uncertainty in multi-model climate projections
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Delivering local-scale climate scenarios for impact assessments
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Rate-dependent tipping points: the example of the compost bomb instability
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Climate tipping as a noisy bifurcation: a predictive technique
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The spectra of a general class of stochastic climate models
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Properties of the atmospheric response to tropical heating estimated from the fluctuation dissipation theorem
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Systematic Strategies for Stochastic Climate Modeling
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Stochastic methods for understanding palaeoclimates
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Maximum entropy production and climate modelling: an overview of theory and applications
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Indentification and early warning of climate tipping points
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Is data assimilation relevant to climate research?
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A very grand challenge for the science of climate prediction
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Understanding and interpreting climate model ensembles
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Studying uncertainty in palaeo-climate reconstructions: What can we infer from pollen about climate dynamics in the younger dryas?
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Land-ocean surface temperature contrast and radiative forcing
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Coherent structures in high-resolution ocean model simulations and implications for climate prediction
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